FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alwyns Lane Football Ground
Chertsey Town3 - 2Raynes Park Vale
Mazzone (10'), Duffy (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Chertsey Town and Raynes Park Vale.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chertsey Town win with a probability of 52.5%. A win for Raynes Park Vale had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chertsey Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.43%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Raynes Park Vale win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chertsey Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chertsey Town | Draw | Raynes Park Vale |
52.5% ( 0.09) | 20.99% ( -0.03) | 26.5% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 67.34% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
