Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Jun 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Laugardalsvollur

Iceland
1 - 2
Slovakia

Finnbogason (41' pen.)
Magnusson (67')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kucka (27'), Suslov (69')
Pekarik (26')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Iceland and Slovakia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Iceland

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Liechtenstein 0-7 Iceland
Sunday, March 26 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	2	10	6
2	Slovakia	2	2	4
3	Iceland	2	4	3
4	Bosnia-Herzegovina	2	1	3
5	Luxembourg	2	-6	1
6	Liechtenstein	2	-11	0

Slovakia

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Slovakia 2-0 Bosnia H'vina
Sunday, March 26 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group J Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	2	10	6
2	Slovakia	2	2	4
3	Iceland	2	4	3
4	Bosnia-Herzegovina	2	1	3
5	Luxembourg	2	-6	1
6	Liechtenstein	2	-11	0

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and we are expecting Saturday's contest to be close in terms of the final scoreline. It would not be a surprise to see Iceland pick up a positive result, but we believe that Slovakia will just shade it to collect a hugely important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.96%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Iceland win it was 1-0 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Slovakia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Slovakia.

Result
Iceland	Draw	Slovakia
17.97% ( -0.7)	22.51% ( -0.54)	59.52% ( 1.25)

Both teams to score 49.76% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.44% (

1.18)

48.56% (

-1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.32% (

1.07)

70.68% (

-1.07)

Iceland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.2% (

-0.12)

40.8% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.62% (

-0.11)

77.38% (

0.11)

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.06% (

0.84)

15.94% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.79% (

1.52)

45.21% (

-1.51)

Score Analysis

Iceland 17.97%

Slovakia 59.51%

Draw 22.5%

Iceland	Draw	Slovakia
1-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.97%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( -0.32) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 22.5%	0-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 10.96% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 6.71% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.2) 0-4 @ 3.08% ( 0.19) 1-4 @ 2.76% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.07) 0-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.1) 1-5 @ 1.02% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.13% Total : 59.51%