Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 23, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Slovakia
0 - 0
Luxembourg

Gerson (57'), Jans (90+4')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Slovakia and Luxembourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovakia

All competitions

Last Game: Slovakia 0-0 Chile
Sunday, November 20 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies

Current League C3 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kazakhstan	0	0	0
2	Belarus	0	0	0
3	Azerbaijan	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Luxembourg

All competitions

Last Game: Luxembourg 0-0 Bulgaria
Sunday, November 20 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	0	0	0
2	Faroe Islands	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Lithuania	0	0	0

We said: Slovakia 1-1 Luxembourg

Despite Luxembourg enjoying arguably the greatest period of their history as a footballing nation, they still head to Trnava 38 places below their forthcoming opponents in FIFA's World Rankings. However, Slovakia lack goal threat and have struggled to win matches of late, so we can envisage a share of the spoils as both teams look to build towards snatching second spot in the group. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Slovakia	Draw	Luxembourg
53.44% ( -0.01)	24.27% ( -0)	22.28% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.03% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.73% (

0.01)

50.26% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.78% (

0.01)

72.21% (

-0.02)

Slovakia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.25% (

-0)

18.74% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.87%

50.12% (

-0)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.8% (

0.02)

37.2% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.01% (

0.02)

73.98% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Slovakia 53.44%

Luxembourg 22.28%

Draw 24.27%

Slovakia	Draw	Luxembourg
1-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.39% 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 53.44%	1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0) Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.27%	0-1 @ 6.9% 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 1.69% Total : 22.28%