Although the two sides share a lot of similarities, Sparta Prague play in a stronger league than their opponents, and they have won their last four games on the spin. Given that the Reds have home advantage on Thursday night, they should be able to record a relatively comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 66.45%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Aris Limassol had a probability of 14.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for an Aris Limassol win it was 0-1 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.

Result
Sparta Prague	Draw	Aris Limassol
66.45% ( 0.02)	19.14% ( -0.02)	14.41% ( -0)

Both teams to score 52.9% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.65% (

0.06)

40.35% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.28% (

0.06)

62.72% (

-0.07)

Sparta Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.72% (

0.02)

11.28% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.11% (

0.05)

35.89% (

-0.05)

Aris Limassol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.63% (

0.03)

40.37% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.01% (

0.03)

76.99% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Sparta Prague 66.45%

Aris Limassol 14.41%

Draw 19.14%

Sparta Prague	Draw	Aris Limassol
2-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.89% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.3% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.88% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0) Other @ 4% Total : 66.45%	1-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.14%	0-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.09% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 14.41%