Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2023 at 6pm UK
Tsirion Athlitiko Kentro
Aris Limassol0 - 1Rakow
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 2-1 Rakow
Friday, August 11 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Friday, August 11 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
We said: Aris Limassol 1-1 Rakow Czestochowa (Rakow win 3-2 on aggregate)
Though Aris should have most of the ball - as they did last week in Poland - Rakow were by far the best defensive team in Poland last season and are capable of keeping them in check. It is set to be a tense, close-fought affair, with little to choose between the two teams, but it will be the away side who ultimately progress. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Aris Limassol had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Aris Limassol win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rakow Czestochowa in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Limassol | Draw | Rakow Czestochowa |
30.86% ( 0.98) | 27.99% ( 0.44) | 41.16% ( -1.4) |
| Both teams to score 46.9% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
