Europa League | League Stage
Oct 24, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
MCH Arena
Midtjylland1 - 0Union SG
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: SonderjyskE 3-2 Midtjylland
Sunday, October 20 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Sunday, October 20 at 5pm in Danish Superliga
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Union SG 0-0 Gent
Saturday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Saturday, October 19 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Goals
for
for
11
We said: FC Midtjylland 1-1 Union SG
With both sides struggling in their respective domestic leagues over recent weeks, we are expecting a close-fought affair on Thursday night at MCH Arena. Midtjylland have home advantage but also a raft of injury concerns, so we feel that Union SG can snatch a point on their continental travels. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 46.41%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Midtjylland in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Midtjylland | Draw | Union SG |
46.41% ( 0.72) | 24.49% ( 0.02) | 29.09% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 56.81% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.29% ( -0.5) | 45.71% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% ( -0.48) | 68.03% ( 0.48) |
| FC Midtjylland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.2% ( 0.11) | 19.8% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.14% ( 0.17) | 51.86% ( -0.16) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.84% ( -0.76) | 29.16% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.9% ( -0.95) | 65.1% ( 0.96) |
| Score Analysis |
FC Midtjylland 46.41%
Union SG 29.09%
Draw 24.49%
| FC Midtjylland | Draw | Union SG |
| 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 46.41% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.42% Total : 29.09% |
How you voted: Midtjylland vs Union SG
FC Midtjylland
57.6%Draw
31.3%Union SG
11.1%99
Form Guide
