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Europa League
Europa League | League Stage
Sep 26, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi

Fenerbahce
2 - 1
Union SG

Soyuncu (26'), Burgess (82' og.)
Becao (33'), Muldur (55'), Osayi-Samuel (87')
Osayi-Samuel (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sykes (90+3')
Boufal (80'), Vanhoutte (90+6')
Mac Allister (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Fenerbahce and Union SG, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Last Game: Fenerbahce 1-3 Galatasaray
Saturday, September 21 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Union SG

All competitions
Last Game: Standard Liege 0-0 Union SG
Friday, September 20 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Fenerbahce 2-0 Union SG

 Apart from Saturday's clash with Galatasaray, Fenerbahce have been formidable so far in 2024-25 and should be confident of breezing past Union SG on home soil. Les Unionistes are struggling domestically and cannot rely on the talents of Fuseini in attack on Thursday, meaning that we are expecting a difficult night for the Belgians in Istanbul. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Union SG win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawUnion SG
45.53% (3.453 3.45) 24.85% (0.382 0.38) 29.61% (-3.838 -3.84)
Both teams to score 55.94% (-3.09 -3.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.98% (-3.268 -3.27)47.01% (3.267 3.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.74% (-3.122 -3.12)69.26% (3.122 3.12)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29% (0.18600000000001 0.19)20.7% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.69% (0.295 0.3)53.31% (-0.297 -0.3)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (-4.074 -4.07)29.46% (4.073 4.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (-5.275 -5.28)65.46% (5.274 5.27)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 45.53%
    Union SG 29.61%
    Draw 24.84%
FenerbahceDrawUnion SG
1-0 @ 9.6% (1.301 1.3)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.331 0.33)
2-0 @ 7.56% (1.062 1.06)
3-1 @ 4.85% (0.2 0.2)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.577 0.58)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.224 -0.22)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.089 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.235 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 45.53%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.796 0.8)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.461 -0.46)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.25 -0.25)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.45% (0.183 0.18)
1-2 @ 7.17% (-0.631 -0.63)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.429 -0.43)
1-3 @ 2.92% (-0.644 -0.64)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.491 -0.49)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.422 -0.42)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 29.61%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Union SG

Fenerbahce
90.8%
Draw
6.5%
Union SG
2.7%
260
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Mar 14, 2024 5.45pm
Round of 16 2nd Leg
Fenerbahce
0-1
Union SG

Yuksek (38'), Can Egribayat (87')
Rasmussen (68')
Eckert (87')
> Preview
Mar 7, 2024 8pm
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0-3
Fenerbahce

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