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Champions League
Champions League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 13, 2024 at 6pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
Lille

Fenerbahce
1 - 1
Lille

Diakite (90+1' og.)
Muldur (8'), Djiku (65'), Soyuncu (68'), Oosterwolde (80')
FT
(aet)
David (118' pen.)
Alexsandro (35'), Gomes (55'), Zhegrova (80'), Arnar Haraldsson (86')
Mandi (109')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Fenerbahce and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Fenerbahce 1-0 Adana Demirspor
Saturday, August 10 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig

Lille

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Fenerbahce
Tuesday, August 6 at 7.30pm in Champions League

We say: Fenerbahce 2-2 Lille (Lille win 4-3 on aggregate)

 Both sides boast plenty of European experience and attacking flair, but the onus is on Fenerbahce to get back into the tie, so they may be caught out on the counter. Lille have been a regular presence in UEFA group stages over the past five years, and they will stay on track for another appearance by narrowly reaching the playoffs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Lille had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawLille
51.53% (0.136 0.14) 22.9% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 25.57% (-0.145 -0.15)
Both teams to score 59.31% (-0.17599999999999 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.91% (-0.17 -0.17)41.09% (0.171 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.51% (-0.173 -0.17)63.49% (0.17299999999999 0.17)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.95% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)16.05% (0.011999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.58% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)45.42% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.65% (-0.2 -0.2)29.35% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.67% (-0.248 -0.25)65.33% (0.248 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 51.53%
    Lille 25.57%
    Draw 22.9%
FenerbahceDrawLille
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.012 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.62% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.88% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.89% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.81% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 51.53%
1-1 @ 10.56% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.9%
1-2 @ 6.48% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
0-1 @ 5.78% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.65% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 25.57%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Lille

Fenerbahce
62.1%
Draw
19.6%
Lille
18.3%
153
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2024 7.30pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Lille
2-1
Fenerbahce
Santos (12' og.), Zhegrova (90+1')
Santos (45+2'), Alexsandro (78')
Kahveci (80')
Dzeko (9'), Kadioglu (45+1')
> Preview
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