Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Braga had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.31%) and 3-1 (5.3%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.