Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Emmen had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Emmen win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.