Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 63.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 17.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.