Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Den Bosch would win this match.