Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 58.62%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 21.32% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.49%) and 3-1 (7.03%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (5.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.