Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 53.14%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 25.58% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.81%) and 0-1 (6.62%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 2-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.