Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.