Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 48.4%. A win for NEC had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for De Graafschap in this match.