Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VVV-Venlo win with a probability of 57.45%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 22.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.32%) and 1-3 (6.92%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VVV-Venlo would win this match.

Result
MVV Maastricht	Draw	VVV-Venlo
22.22% ( 3.03)	20.33% ( 0.66)	57.45% ( -3.69)

Both teams to score 64.52% (

2.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.54% (

1.22)

32.45% (

-1.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.9% (

1.4)

54.09% (

-1.4)

MVV Maastricht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.74% (

3.42)

27.26% (

-3.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.31% (

4.23)

62.69% (

-4.23)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.7% (

-0.59)

11.3% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.06% (

-1.3)

35.94% (

1.3)

Score Analysis

MVV Maastricht 22.22%

VVV-Venlo 57.45%

Draw 20.33%

MVV Maastricht	Draw	VVV-Venlo
2-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.55) 1-0 @ 4% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.44) 3-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.22) Other @ 3.67% Total : 22.22%	1-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.46) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.27) Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.33%	1-2 @ 9.52% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.88) 1-3 @ 6.92% ( -0.3) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.62) 0-3 @ 5.32% ( -0.78) 2-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.23) 1-4 @ 3.77% ( -0.26) 0-4 @ 2.9% ( -0.51) 2-4 @ 2.45% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 1.64% ( -0.16) 0-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.26) 2-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.12) Other @ 3% Total : 57.45%