Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong PSV win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jong PSV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.75%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Jong PSV	Draw	VVV-Venlo
40.92% ( 1.43)	23.36% ( -0.01)	35.72% ( -1.42)

Both teams to score 63.69% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.1% (

-0.15)

37.9% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.85% (

-0.16)

60.15% (

0.17)

Jong PSV Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.04% (

0.57)

18.96% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.52% (

0.95)

50.48% (

-0.94)

VVV-Venlo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.59% (

-0.78)

21.41% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.59% (

-1.21)

54.41% (

1.22)

Score Analysis

Jong PSV 40.92%

VVV-Venlo 35.72%

Draw 23.36%

Jong PSV	Draw	VVV-Venlo
2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.48% Total : 40.92%	1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.36%	1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.75% Total : 35.72%