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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 37
May 12, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
2 - 1
Telstar

Steuckers (12'), van Bommel (20')
Kostons (62'), Rocha (86'), Souren (88'), van Bommel (89'), Vijgen (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Plet (80')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Telstar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: De Graafschap 2-1 MVV
Friday, May 5 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Telstar 0-0 Willem II
Friday, May 5 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MVV Maastricht in this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawTelstar
40.99% (-0.132 -0.13) 24.23% (-0.02 -0.02) 34.78% (0.147 0.15)
Both teams to score 60.27% (0.105 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.72% (0.121 0.12)42.27% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.32% (0.123 0.12)64.68% (-0.12899999999999 -0.13)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.23% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)20.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.58% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)53.41% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Telstar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.07% (0.139 0.14)23.92% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (0.201 0.2)58.14% (-0.208 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 40.99%
    Telstar 34.78%
    Draw 24.23%
MVV MaastrichtDrawTelstar
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.81% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.14% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 40.99%
1-1 @ 11.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 7.99% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.08% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.81% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.42% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.015 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.78%

How you voted: MVV vs Telstar

MVV Maastricht
25.0%
Draw
50.0%
Telstar
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2023 7pm
gameweek 18
Telstar
5-3
MVV
Giousis (20'), Smit (28', 34', 49'), Plet (87')
Steuckers (24'), Kostons (56'), Van Helden (60')
Van Helden (51')
Jan 14, 2022 7pm
gameweek 22
Telstar
2-1
MVV
Plet (8'), Aktas (26')
Molenaar (73'), Smit (90+1')
Essers (90+1')
Essers (45+2'), Dzepar (45+2'), Zeegers (63'), Delferriere (75'), Mami (90+3')
Sep 5, 2021 1.30pm
gameweek 5
MVV
3-0
Telstar
Remans (13', 22'), Blummel (39')
Kleinen (11'), Zeegers (34')

Kokcu (54')
Feb 26, 2021 5.45pm
gameweek 26
MVV
2-0
Telstar
Surmeli (50'), Angiulli (90+5')
Surmeli (54')

van Wetten (18'), Adshead (48'), F (86'), Pattynama (90+1')
Sep 13, 2020 7pm
gameweek 3
Telstar
1-2
MVV
Plet (64')
Vandermeulen (42')
Duin (42' pen.), Kostons (89')
Heerings (52'), Lathouwers (90+7')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior15102335181732
2De GraafschapDe Graafschap1585237221529
3FC VolendamVolendam1592436231329
4EmmenEmmen158342617927
5Helmond SportHelmond158342521427
6Den BoschDen Bosch157442617925
7Cambuur158162112925
8Dordrecht157442520525
9Roda JC156541820-223
10ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag155732620622
11TelstarTelstar165742319422
12FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven165471927-819
13Jong AZJong AZ155372730-318
14MVV MaastrichtMVV163762025-516
15TOP OssOss154471128-1716
16Jong AjaxJong Ajax153661717015
17Jong PSVJong PSV154292229-714
18VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo1632111331-1811
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht151591431-178
20Vitesse152671832-146


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