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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 33
Apr 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt

MVV
2 - 1
Dordrecht

van Bommel (45+3'), Essers (78')
Matthys (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Longo (90+1')
Longo (68'), Smolarczyk (88')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Dordrecht.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Helmond 1-2 MVV
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Dordrecht 1-0 Jong PSV
Friday, April 7 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MVV Maastricht in this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawDordrecht
50.06% (0.081000000000003 0.08) 23.16% (-0.031000000000002 -0.03) 26.77% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 59.57% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (0.099000000000004 0.1)41.27% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33% (0.10100000000001 0.1)63.66% (-0.102 -0.1)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35% (0.064999999999998 0.06)16.64% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.51% (0.119 0.12)46.48% (-0.119 -0.12)
Dordrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.46% (0.012 0.01)28.54% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)64.32% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 50.06%
    Dordrecht 26.77%
    Draw 23.15%
MVV MaastrichtDrawDordrecht
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.57% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 50.06%
1-1 @ 10.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 6.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 26.77%

How you voted: MVV vs Dordrecht

MVV Maastricht
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Dordrecht
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2022 8pm
Dordrecht
1-2
MVV
Brito (28')
Camara (33')
Steuckers (21'), Souren (50')
Feb 25, 2022 7pm
Dordrecht
3-1
MVV
El Azzouzi (52'), Conteh (67'), Meijer (83')
Mannes (61'), N'Diaye (90+4')
Dzepar (19')
Penders (36'), Waem (38'), Lake (84')
Oct 15, 2021 7pm
MVV
2-1
Dordrecht
Ntelo (17'), Remans (18')
Souren (28'), Zeegers (60'), Ntelo (65'), Blummel (82'), Waem (90+2')
N'Diaye (40')
Suray (16'), Schuurman (48'), Wielzen (86')
Suray (90+4')
Apr 23, 2021 8pm
Dordrecht
0-1
MVV

Aktas (70')
Blummel (90+5')
Salasiwa (50'), Van Acker (90+1')
Dec 18, 2020 8pm
MVV
3-1
Dordrecht
Vliet (56' og.), Zamouri (68'), Duin (90+4')
Schuurman (76')
Surmeli (90')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Tables header RHS

Group A

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Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

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Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

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1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

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1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

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1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

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Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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