Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 50.64%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MVV Maastricht in this match.