Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 51.56%. A win for Dordrecht had a probability of 25.37% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Dordrecht win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.