Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jong FC Utrecht would win this match.