Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.49%) and 2-0 (5.67%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MVV Maastricht would win this match.
