Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 60.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 18.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
