Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 1-2 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
