Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Jul 17, 2021 at 1.15am UK
Sarmiento0 - 3Estudiantes
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between Sarmiento and Estudiantes.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Sarmiento had a probability of 28.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Sarmiento win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarmiento | Draw | Estudiantes |
| 28.41% | 28.08% | 43.5% |
| Both teams to score 45.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
