Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.