Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for 12 de Octubre had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest 12 de Octubre win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.