Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 23.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.08%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Patronato win it was 1-0 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.