Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 46.09%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Huracan had a probability of 25.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Huracan win it was 1-0 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.