Copa Sudamericana | Second Stage
Nov 5, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Penarol1 - 1Velez Sarsfield
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Penarol and Velez Sarsfield.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Penarol win was 1-0 (11.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
| 34.08% | 29.24% | 36.68% |
| Both teams to score 44.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
