Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 26, 2022 at 11.15pm UK

Estadio Islas Malvinas

Velez Sarsfield
1 - 2
Nacional

Sonora (15')
Insua (45+3'), Gomez (90+2')
Florentin (18')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gigliotti (31', 75')
Rochet (24'), Coelho (43'), Luis Rodriguez (59'), Candido (61'), Marichal (86'), Ocampo (90+7')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Velez Sarsfield and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Nacional
45.57%	26.39%	28.04%

Both teams to score 50.1%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.84%

54.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.43%

75.57%

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.3%

23.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.18%

57.82%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.66%

34.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.96%

71.04%

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 45.57%

Nacional 28.04%

Draw 26.38%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 11.71% 2-1 @ 9.02% 2-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 4.33% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.71% Total : 45.57%	1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 4.82% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.38%	0-1 @ 8.7% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.65% 1-3 @ 2.39% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.23% Total : 28.04%