Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 6, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid

Bragantino
2 - 0
Nacional

Ytalo (35'), Hurtado (90+3')
Barbieri (25'), Jadsom (67'), Schwengber (81'), Evangelista (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Candido (29'), Repetto (30'), Trezza (66'), Ocampo (75')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Bragantino and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 47.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 24.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.73%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
Bragantino	Draw	Nacional
47.64%	27.48%	24.89%

Both teams to score 44.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.08%

59.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.83%

80.17%

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.74%

25.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.99%

60.01%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.83%

40.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.2%

76.8%

Score Analysis

Bragantino 47.64%

Nacional 24.89%

Draw 27.47%

Bragantino	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 13.96% 2-0 @ 9.61% 2-1 @ 8.76% 3-0 @ 4.41% 3-1 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-1 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.15% Total : 47.64%	1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 4% Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.47%	0-1 @ 9.25% 1-2 @ 5.81% 0-2 @ 4.22% 1-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.28% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.34% Total : 24.89%