Cerro Largo
0 - 2
Nacional

Martinez (19'), Max (60'), Correa (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Monzeglio (35', 49')
Castro (38'), Marichal (53'), Lozano (85'), Fagundez (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Cerro Largo	Draw	Nacional
28.53%	27.12%	44.36%

Both teams to score 48.27%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.33%

56.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.37%

77.63%

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.71%

35.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.95%

72.05%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59%

25.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78%

60.22%

Score Analysis

Cerro Largo 28.53%

Nacional 44.35%

Draw 27.11%

Cerro Largo	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 9.34% 2-1 @ 6.66% 2-0 @ 4.86% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-0 @ 1.69% 3-2 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.07% Total : 28.53%	1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.97% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.11%	0-1 @ 12.28% 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-2 @ 8.42% 1-3 @ 4% 0-3 @ 3.84% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.37% 0-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.27% Total : 44.35%