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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Apr 17, 2022 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
1 - 1
River Plate

Ocampo (90')
Candido (75'), Rochet (81'), Fagundez (82'), Rodriguez (86'), Otormin (90+4')
Candido (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)

Alfonso (9'), Montiel (42'), Salaberry (45+2'), Pereira (49'), Diaz (51')
Salaberry (67')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Danubio 2-1 Nacional
Sunday, June 5 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Next Game: Nacional vs. Union
Tuesday, June 28 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Torque 0-0 River Plate
Friday, June 3 at 11.15pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 57.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 19.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
57.42%23.13%19.45%
Both teams to score 50.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.98%49.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.9%71.1%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.18%16.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.2%46.8%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.61%39.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.91%76.09%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 57.41%
    River Plate 19.45%
    Draw 23.13%
NacionalDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 11.81%
2-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 9.81%
3-0 @ 6.26%
3-1 @ 5.83%
4-0 @ 2.79%
3-2 @ 2.72%
4-1 @ 2.6%
4-2 @ 1.21%
5-0 @ 0.99%
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 57.41%
1-1 @ 11%
0-0 @ 6.63%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 23.13%
0-1 @ 6.17%
1-2 @ 5.13%
0-2 @ 2.88%
1-3 @ 1.59%
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 19.45%

Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 8pm
Nacional
4-2
River Plate
Almeida (26'), Brunelli (53' og., 61' og.), Fernandez (62')
Fernandez (23')
Borbas (1'), Montiel (90')
Bonifazi (45'), Boggio (59')
Aug 21, 2021 7pm
River Plate
2-0
Nacional
Arezo (45+1'), Boggio (51')
Diaz (17'), Montiel (34'), Napoli (73')

Mendez (24'), Rodriguez (34'), Trasante (40'), Bergessio (41'), Martinez (46')
Bergessio (90+2')
Feb 8, 2021 12.45am
Nacional
3-0
River Plate
Rodriguez (17' og.), Bergessio (34'), Neves (56')
Bergessio (54'), Orihuela (76')

Montiel (38'), Bonifazi (78'), Viera (90')
Nov 12, 2020 5.45pm
River Plate
0-2
Nacional

Fossati (17'), Ospitaleche (18'), Leites (38')
Vicente (40')
Bergessio (52'), Rodriguez (90+2')
Martinez (57')
Aug 15, 2020 7pm
River Plate
2-3
Nacional
Leites (6'), Viera (21')
Bergessio (12', 45+2', 76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1DanubioDanubio440070712
2PenarolPenarol43101111010
3Boston RiverBoston River43016339
4Montevideo WanderersWanderers43015329
5Rampla JuniorsRampla43016519
6NacionalNacional42207438
7Racing de MontevideoRacing42114317
8Miramar Misiones41213305
9LiverpoolLiverpool411223-14
10FenixFenix411213-24
11River PlateRiver Plate411259-44
12CerroCerro411227-54
13Defensor SportingDefensor402246-22
14Cerro Largo401315-41
15ProgresoProgreso401304-41
16Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado400416-50
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


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