Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 22, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Monumental
Universitario2 - 3Palmeiras
Gutierrez (65', 67' pen.)
Quintero Medina (22'), Leonardo Valverde Ledesma (35'), Alonso (78'), Alexis Barreto Gamboa (84'), Corzo (84'), Urruti (88')
Quintero Medina (22'), Leonardo Valverde Ledesma (35'), Alonso (78'), Alexis Barreto Gamboa (84'), Corzo (84'), Urruti (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 44.51%. A win for Universitario had a probability of 28.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Universitario win was 1-0 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Universitario | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 28.87% | 26.62% | 44.51% |
| Both teams to score 49.92% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
