Universitario
3 - 2
Independiente

Eduardo Valera Sandoval (20', 49'), Minzum Quina Asin (72')
Leonardo Rugel Moran (67'), Corzo (78')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sanchez (8'), Ortiz (59')
Segovia (70'), Ortiz (72'), Pellerano (75')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Universitario and Independiente del Valle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Independiente del Valle win was 1-2 (7.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universitario would win this match.

Result
Universitario	Draw	Independiente del Valle
45.54%	24.46%	29.99%

Both teams to score 57.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.92%

45.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.57%

67.42%

Universitario Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.09%

19.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.96%

52.04%

Independiente del Valle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.78%

28.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.08%

63.92%

Score Analysis

Universitario 45.54%

Independiente del Valle 29.99%

Draw 24.46%

Universitario	Draw	Independiente del Valle
2-1 @ 9.26% 1-0 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 4.98% 3-0 @ 3.94% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.96% Total : 45.54%	1-1 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 5.86% 0-0 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.46%	1-2 @ 7.26% 0-1 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 4.5% 1-3 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-3 @ 1.9% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.99%