Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 12, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio General Rumiñahui del Valle de Los Chillos
Independiente0 - 1Palmeiras
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente del Valle | Draw | Palmeiras |
| 40.45% | 26.85% | 32.69% |
| Both teams to score 50.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
