Copa Libertadores | Third Round
Apr 14, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Olímpico Monumental
Gremio1 - 2Independiente
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 58.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 19.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gremio | Draw | Independiente del Valle |
| 58.28% | 22.58% | 19.14% |
| Both teams to score 51.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
