Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Union Espanola had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Union Espanola win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.
