Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 55.65%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Universitario had a probability of 18.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Universitario win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.
