Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.