Copa Libertadores | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 8, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Huancayo
Huancayo2 - 1Nacional
Escobar (52'), Huaccha (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Brizuela (69')
Espinola (81')
Espinola (81')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Sport Huancayo and Club Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Huancayo win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Club Nacional had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sport Huancayo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Club Nacional win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sport Huancayo would win this match.
Result | ||
Sport Huancayo | Draw | Club Nacional |
50.96% ( 0.49) | 24.44% ( -0.08) | 24.59% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 53.17% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.25% ( -0.04) | 48.74% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.15% ( -0.03) | 70.84% ( 0.03) |
Sport Huancayo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.87% ( 0.18) | 19.13% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.23% ( 0.3) | 50.76% ( -0.31) |
Club Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.74% ( -0.38) | 34.25% ( 0.37) |