MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 16:04:20| >> :60:186:186:
Copa Libertadores | First Round | 1st Leg
Feb 8, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Huancayo

Huancayo
2 - 1
Nacional

Escobar (52'), Huaccha (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Brizuela (69')
Espinola (81')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Sport Huancayo and Club Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Huancayo 0-0 Penarol
Thursday, May 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Guairena 0-0 Nacional
Thursday, March 17 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sport Huancayo win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Club Nacional had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sport Huancayo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Club Nacional win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sport Huancayo would win this match.

Result
Sport HuancayoDrawClub Nacional
50.96% (0.495 0.49) 24.44% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 24.59% (-0.422 -0.42)
Both teams to score 53.17% (-0.185 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.25% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)48.74% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.15% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)70.84% (0.027999999999992 0.03)
Sport Huancayo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.87% (0.17999999999999 0.18)19.13% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.23% (0.302 0.3)50.76% (-0.307 -0.31)
Club Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.74% (-0.38 -0.38)34.25% (0.374 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.04% (-0.407 -0.41)70.95% (0.401 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Sport Huancayo 50.96%
    Club Nacional 24.59%
    Draw 24.44%
Sport HuancayoDrawClub Nacional
1-0 @ 10.83% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.96% (0.116 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.29% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 50.96%
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.44%
0-1 @ 7.02% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.22% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.76% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 24.59%

rhs 2.0
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5Arsenal105321711618
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14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
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18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
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