Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for America Mineiro had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest America Mineiro win was 0-1 (11.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.