CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Sep 7, 2023 at 11pm UK
Football federation training ground
Sint Maarten1 - 5St Lucia
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Sint Maarten and Saint Lucia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: US Virgin Islands 1-2 Sint Maarten
Wednesday, March 29 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Wednesday, March 29 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: St Lucia 3-1 Dominica
Tuesday, March 28 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Tuesday, March 28 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Sint Maarten win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Lucia would win this match.
Result | ||
Sint Maarten | Draw | Saint Lucia |
30.36% ( -0.03) | 23.64% ( -0.02) | 45.99% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 60.56% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.86% ( 0.07) | 41.14% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.47% ( 0.08) | 63.53% ( -0.07) |
Sint Maarten Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.98% ( 0.02) | 26.01% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.96% ( 0.02) | 61.04% ( -0.02) |
Saint Lucia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.85% ( 0.05) | 18.15% ( -0.05) |