CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Sep 7, 2023 at 11pm UK
Football federation training ground
Sint Maarten1 - 5St Lucia
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Sint Maarten and Saint Lucia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: US Virgin Islands 1-2 Sint Maarten
Wednesday, March 29 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Wednesday, March 29 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: St Lucia 3-1 Dominica
Tuesday, March 28 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
Tuesday, March 28 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League
| Current League B Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Saint Lucia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Guadeloupe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Sint Maarten | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint Lucia win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Sint Maarten had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint Lucia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Sint Maarten win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint Lucia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sint Maarten | Draw | Saint Lucia |
30.36% ( -0.03) | 23.64% ( -0.02) | 45.99% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.56% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
