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Club World Cup | First Round
Sep 22, 2024 at 5pm UK
Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium

Al-Ain
6 - 2
Auckland City

Cardoso (6'), Baba Gassama (11'), Palacios (45+1'), Rahimi (78', 90+4'), Romero (90+2')
Palacios (57'), Sanabria (57'), Sanabria (58'), Lagos Giraldo (89'), Al Ahbabi (89')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Lagos Giraldo (43'), Bevan (54')
Karim Traore (66'), Tieku (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Club World Cup clash between Al-Ain and Auckland City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Al-Ain 5-1 Yokohama
Saturday, May 25 at 5pm in AFC Champions League
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Last Game: Al Ittihad 3-0 Auckland City
Tuesday, December 12 at 6pm in Club World Cup
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We said: Al-Ain 3-1 Auckland City

Al Ain are in excellent form, unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions, and with their star striker Kodjo Laba available and playing in front of their home fans. Al Zaeem should win this easily. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 46.35%. A win for Auckland City had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.15%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Auckland City win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.

Result
Al-AinDrawAuckland City
46.35% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1) 22.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 31.46% (0.09 0.09)
Both teams to score 66.61% (0.060999999999993 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.54% (0.060000000000002 0.06)33.46% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.74% (0.069000000000003 0.07)55.25% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Al-Ain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.95% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)15.05% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.45% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)43.54% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Auckland City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.4% (0.079000000000008 0.08)21.59% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.31% (0.126 0.13)54.69% (-0.133 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ain 46.35%
    Auckland City 31.46%
    Draw 22.19%
Al-AinDrawAuckland City
2-1 @ 8.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.15% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.83% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.32% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 2.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 46.35%
1-1 @ 9.43% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.85% (0.008 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.21% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.19%
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.98% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 3.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.69% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.5% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.95% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.42% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.34% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 31.46%

How you voted: Al-Ain vs Auckland City

Al-Ain
73.3%
Draw
6.7%
Auckland City
20.0%
15
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1210112481631
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
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8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
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