Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.