MX23RW : Friday, June 28 06:30:53| >> :600:580039:580039:
Champions League | Preliminary Round Semi-Finals
Jun 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Kopavogsvollur

Tre Penne
1 - 7
Breidablik

Barretta (31')
Scarponi (21'), Ceccaroli (35'), Tamagnini (88')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Gunnlaugsson (6', 89'), Hlynsson (25', 90+2'), Olsen (45+2'), Ingi Sigurdarson (67'), Karl Einarsson (74')
Stefansson (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Tre Penne and Breidablik, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Tuzla City 6-0 Tre Penne
Thursday, July 14 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Istanbul 3-0 Breidablik
Thursday, August 11 at 6.45pm in Europa Conference League
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We said: Tre Penne 1-4 Breidablik

Although Breidablik's recent results have not matched their form when winning the 2022 domestic title, their greater depth of experience will come to the fore on Tuesday. Tre Penne are routinely swept aside on the European stage and will have to make do with a place in the Conference League qualifiers on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Breidablik win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Tre Penne had a probability of 16.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Breidablik win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.45%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Tre Penne win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Breidablik would win this match.

Result
Tre PenneDrawBreidablik
16.16% (0.459 0.46) 21.54% (0.026 0.03) 62.3% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)
Both teams to score 49.15% (0.91800000000001 0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.51% (0.698 0.7)47.49% (-0.70500000000001 -0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.3% (0.641 0.64)69.7% (-0.648 -0.65)
Tre Penne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.6% (1.027 1.03)42.39% (-1.034 -1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.22% (0.869 0.87)78.77% (-0.876 -0.88)
Breidablik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.32% (0.070999999999998 0.07)14.67% (-0.077 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.16% (0.142 0.14)42.83% (-0.147 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Tre Penne 16.16%
    Breidablik 62.28%
    Draw 21.53%
Tre PenneDrawBreidablik
1-0 @ 5.34% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 4.4% (0.132 0.13)
2-0 @ 2.29% (0.062 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.26% (0.071 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.21% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 16.16%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.22% (-0.185 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.22% (0.137 0.14)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 21.53%
0-1 @ 11.93% (-0.32 -0.32)
0-2 @ 11.45% (-0.28 -0.28)
1-2 @ 9.83% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 7.33% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-3 @ 6.29% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
0-4 @ 3.52% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 3.02% (0.031 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.094 0.09)
0-5 @ 1.35% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.3% (0.049 0.05)
1-5 @ 1.16% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 62.28%

How you voted: Tre Penne vs Breidablik

Tre Penne
30.6%
Draw
8.3%
Breidablik
61.1%
36
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
 
8pm
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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