Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gjilani win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Tre Penne had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gjilani win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.95%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Tre Penne win it was 1-0 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gjilani would win this match.