Europa League

Europa League | Preliminary Round

Aug 21, 2020 at 7pm UK

Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle

Tre Penne
1 - 3
Gjilani

Gai (16')
Mezzadri (31'), Sorrentino (32'), Gasperoni (44'), Cibelli (78'), Patregnani (90+5'), Cesarini (90+5')
Sorrentino (43')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Nikac (24'), Hajdari (64'), Hila (68')
Useini (52'), M (90+4')

Coverage of the Europa League Preliminary Round clash between Tre Penne and Gjilani.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gjilani win with a probability of 60.58%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Tre Penne had a probability of 17.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gjilani win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.95%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Tre Penne win it was 1-0 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gjilani would win this match.

Result
Tre Penne	Draw	Gjilani
17.44%	21.98%	60.58%

Both teams to score 50.42%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.83%

47.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.6%

69.4%

Tre Penne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.4%

40.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.8%

77.2%

Gjilani Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.88%

15.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.32%

43.68%

Score Analysis

Tre Penne 17.44%

Gjilani 60.57%

Draw 21.98%

Tre Penne	Draw	Gjilani
1-0 @ 5.53% 2-1 @ 4.71% 2-0 @ 2.49% 3-1 @ 1.42% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.95% Total : 17.44%	1-1 @ 10.45% 0-0 @ 6.14% 2-2 @ 4.45% Other @ 0.94% Total : 21.98%	0-1 @ 11.59% 0-2 @ 10.95% 1-2 @ 9.87% 0-3 @ 6.9% 1-3 @ 6.22% 0-4 @ 3.26% 1-4 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 2.8% 2-4 @ 1.32% 0-5 @ 1.23% 1-5 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.37% Total : 60.57%